>>Shite, you are right, I'm always placing them in the East for whatever reason <<
Probably because Memphis really ought to be in the Eastern Conference if you're paying attention to geography, but hey.
>> I'm not convinced about the Blazers. Sure, they have a nice core, but that first round exit must have hurt and it showed signs of players not trusting McMillan. Whose only plan seemed to be balls to Roy, btw. I can see them imploding mid-season. <<
They are a weird mix of good/very good pieces who don't quite seem to add up to a great whole just yet. I figure them for a playoff team in part because someone has to fill those 8 spots and I only see about 4 other sure things (LA, Utah, San Antonio, Denver).
>> T-Wolves have some pieces and cap room, they could build a team that could get a first round exit, but that roster is ridiculous as it is. <<
They have some nice pieces, but their backcourt is still a giant question mark. Unless they swing a big trade to address that, they're going to be on the outside looking in.
>> Boozer has announced he's staying in the Jazz. Same with Okur. Playoffs, out in the first. Will see what happens with Millsap. Too many stupid GMs in the League not to consider someone throwing crazy money at him. <<
I wouldn't throw crazy money at a guy who's basically just a really nice 7th/8th man, but that's probably why I'm not a GM.
>> Thunder aren't there yet as good as Durant is. They lack a 5. And I'm not sure Harden will help much. <<
They are lacking a 5 and I'm not totally sold on Harden, either, so they may be a year or so away, but they do have a lot of really exciting pieces. If the last 2-3 spots in the West are as wide open as they seem, they might be able to sneak into one if they get some good breaks.
>> Lakers (Artest? whoah, if he gets in the third banana mindset that's one incredible team) look like a lock. Clips' biggest problem is the coach. Phoenix goes to the lottery, Nash out next season. Same with Warriors unless they get Amaré or other teams slip. <<
I put the Warriors in basically that same bunch as the Thunder in that they have a lot of good, interesting pieces but they don't seem quite there yet. But with a few breaks their way... who knows.
>> Lakers getting Gasol was a steal, but what the Spurs got in Jefferson is almost the same. If Manu and Timmah stay helathy it's Lakers/Spurs in the West Finals. <<
I don't think RJ is as good as Pau, but he is still a nice upgrade and the fact that they were able to get him for chump change is pretty amazing.
>> Dallas depends on what they do in Free Agency. <<
Sounds like they may add Gortat, which could be a nice addition. If they get PG figured out, they should make the playoffs without too much difficulty.
>> The Rockets are adding Ariza (who I'm not sure about) and have a nice young core even without Yao. And they are totally trading T-Mac, that's one enormous expiring contract lots of teams could use for next season's free agency. <<
Ariza parlayed a great playoffs run into a nice deal. He's a good player (especially on defense), but he shot way over his average in the playoffs so you have to hope that was a sign of things to come and not just a crazy hot streak. So they're going Brooks, Battier, Scola, Ariza, and ??? next year? That's not too bad. Add in whatever they can get for T-Mac and that's probably a bottom-tier playoff team.
>> Hornets, I dunno. What's their plan again? They seem to be trying to trade Chandler again, their team is so so, they have a few awful contracts so they'll have a hard time improving. <<
If they can get healthy, motivated seasons out of guys like West and Chandler, they might be able to make a decent run at the playoffs. But, yeah, they're a total mess.
So if you figure the West as:
1) Lakers
2) Spurs
3) Nuggets
4) Jazz
5) Mavs
6) Rockets
7) ???
8) ???
Those last two spots look pretty wide open to me.
- ross